Saturday, April 21, 2007

Y'all must be sick of hearing nothing but good news...

So here it is, and first of all, lemme just say, FUCKKKKIIINNNNN AAAAAAAAA

Hehehe, so now you have a general idea what this is all about.

Well, given the recent success in poker, it was time to move up in limits. I decided to try out the $1/$2 NL game today. Started off, nothing special, then somewhere, I bluffed a medium sized pot off of a guy, so I had $270 at one table (bought-in for $200).

Then, this hand comes up... 9-7 of spades on the button, middle position raises to $8, two players call, so I call. Four to the flop, which was 9-7-3, with 2 hearts. Original raiser bets out $30, one guy calls, and I move all-in, trying to force an overpair like QQ, KK, or AA to call. Well, it worked, the first raiser folded, and the second caller thought for a while, then called, and flipped up QQ. I knew I wasn't a huge favorite (on the flop: 74.6% favorite), and I got ready to sweat the shit out of this hand. Turn was an offsuit 4, a complete blank. Now I only need to sweat 8 outs on the river (on the turn: 81.8% favorite).

And the river is the fucking Queen of hearts, and believe me when I tell you, that HURT LIKE A BITCH.

It's not like I've never been outdrawn before, but that was a fucking $570 pot I just lost.

(total is still in the mid $3k range, nothing disastrous, but winning that pot would have been fucking sweet, not to mention, well-deserved)

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Just needed to vent, time to jump back in the fray...

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

More of the same

Jesus, variance is soooooo trying to catch up to me. I've been starting out the last two days all on some horrible downers for the first hour. Again, down about -$350 in the first hour. At one point, I was up $400 from the initial 100BB buy in of the 4 tables I was on, and was barely even. Still, just grinding it out. I don't even know how I do it. Hope I'll be able to keep on dodging any negative variance. This last month has been a pretty good run of cards, but I hope even if the cards level out, I'll be too enough to fake it till I make it.

Yeah, I said it.

Net total: +$3,070.75

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I just noticed... since my post on April 11th, it's been 7 days. And I've made $2,000 in profit. QUIT SKOOOOL, PL4Y P0K3R 4 LYFE!!!!!

Know How to Win Big, Know How to Win, Period

So, as amazing as winning $1.2 grand in 4 hours was yesterday, today started out almost the exact opposite. Whereas that averaged out to an hourly win rate of +$300/hr, today started out more along the lines of -$300/hr. No kidding, in the first hour, I'd either bluffed off, or called off, at least $300, playing 4 tables of 100NL.

No worries. Part of it was advertising, part of it was variance. Hey, I know what I'm doing now. Hunker down (only a little), and start hitting a few hands. I did just that, took down a big pot with a set of 10's, got lucky to hit a combo-draw on the river, called down a few bluffs, etc. Soon enough, that -$300 deficit was mostly gone.

And after 3 hours of solid, disciplined poker, I dug myself completely out of that early hole, and would up with a small profit (small = < $50, I know, I'm greedy). So, you have to know how to win big at times, but more importantly, is knowing how to grind it out, and play focused and disciplined poker even when you start off in a deep hole. Lesson learned, and applied.

Net total: +$2,976.85

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This poker thing is alright.

Monday, April 16, 2007

Dude, so I just finished 4th in this tourney...

... 4th place, 613 entries, $24+2, Fulltilt $11k guarantee.

Prize money: +$1,287.30

What I really can't believe, is I actually lasted this deep in an MTT. MTT's hate me. Guess not today... biggest hand, 88 vs. KK, but I hit an 8 on the flop. Gave me 22K in my stack, and let me stay alive.

Final table, pretty standard, came in as 8th out of 9 players, outlasted the other short stacks. Got dealt AK, doubled against AJ, then later got 88, and beat out AQ on a coin-flip. Even my bust-out hand, I'm fairly proud of. J-10 of spades, called a raise preflop, flop came A-10-9, two spades. I open-pushed all-in, and guy made a gutsy call with A-7. 51% favorite on the flop. But I bricked out. Grrrrr. First place would have been $3,600... Anyways.

Net total: +$2,935.60

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JESUS H. CHRIST!

Sunday, April 15, 2007

Steady, steady...

A good two hours of solid poker. 3-tabling the 100NL HE tables on FullTilt is so freaking automatic for me now. So long as the luck factor stays minimized. Example, biggest hand today, AA v KK. Guy limps from UTG, UTG+1 limps, fold to SB, he calls, and I raise to $5 with AA in the BB. UTG reraises to $15. Everyone else folds to me. Basically, with his limp-reraise, UTG has defined his range to basically be QQ+, AK, maaaybe JJ once in a blue moon. Against that range, I see him having a hell of a hard time laying down QQ or KK preflop, and hell he might even call with AKs. So I just push, $80 more back to him, insta-call, yup KK. Board bricks out (no funny straights to chop either), and if my 80-20 hands keep holding up, life will be just gravy.

Net total: +$1,575.85

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Maybe when they fixed my laptop and replaced the hard drive, they updated my luck chip...

Saturday, April 14, 2007

Alright, This is Fucking Scary...

That I can be running this good/lucky for this long at poker? Jesus H. Christ, think of the eventual downswing... it's gonna be apocalyptic.

Played another couple hours today, 450 hands, made another $230. I don't think it's 'cuz I'm good anymore, I just think this is setting me up for something bad later on in life.

Still, have to ride the hot streak for all it's worth.

Net total: +$1,460

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I've been trying to play the $19K and $26K guarantee tourneys on FullTilt ($24+2 buy-in), but apparently I just can't outdonk these guys. Not playing optimally, and not getting any breaks in the tourneys either. Oh well, I can live with dropping a few buy-ins in these MTTs if that's the price for keeping my cash game skills extra-sharp.

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Live Update

In the span of 60 short minutes, I made $220 today.

The best moment of the day? I busted a guy (let's call him, Poor Bastard) when I had AA, he had AK, and the flop came A-K-8. I took down the very next hand with a big bluff with 7-6. Then, on the immediate hand after that bluff, I got AK of clubs in the big blind. 4 players called a raise to the flop, and it came Q-10-3, with two clubs. I checked to Poor Bastard (who rebought in for another $100), and he bet out for $9 (about a 2/3 pot bet), and I check-raised to $30. He pushed all-in, and I had an easy pot-odds call getting 2:1 on my money with 12 outs and two cards to come. He showed Q-10 for top two pair, but fortunately I hit my flush on the turn.

So, I took $200 from the same guy, in less than 2 minutes.

Ouch.

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Poker, poker, it's all skill, start with the worst hand and go uphill...

Net total: +$1,250

Wednesday, April 11, 2007

My Long, Tormented Journey

To commemorate the milestone I achieved today, I've decided to chronicle for you, very briefly, the details of my long, tormented journey through the bowels of online poker hell...

Midnight, 11/12/2006: I turn 18.

15 minutes later: I deposit $200 onto Bodog, using their checking account deposit service.

About 1 week later: I deposit another $300 onto Bodog, after already having lost the first $200.

Late-November: After haggling with a Neteller customer service rep for about 10 minutes, I set up an online account to transfer money from my bank account, through Neteller, to other poker sites (besides just Bodog, which at this point, I have decided is rigged). I have also withdrawn the $200 remaining in my Bodog account back into my bank account. Net total: -$300.

2 minutes later: I deposit $600 onto FullTilt Poker, in order to collect the 100% bonus (up to a maximum of $600), which the site gives to new players. By a conservative estimate, I need to play about 24,000 hands of poker to earn all of this $600 bonus.

About 2 days later: I have a local maxima of $940 in my account, after winning about $300 in the first 2 days after I deposited. At this point, I've earned back the money I lost on Bodog, and look to be on my way to a successful poker career. Note, I'm playing mostly $0.25/$0.50 NLHE (no limit hold'em) full ring games, and $10+1 STT SNG (single-table tournament, sit'n go's). Net total: +$40.

A month later, in mid-December: After that initial streak of wins at $0.25/$0.50 NLHE, I get a little greedy, start playing 4 tables simultaneously, and also venture into other games, like $2/$4 PL Omaha, $4/$8 Stud, $4/$8 Stud H/L, and $4/$8 Razz. After losing a few hundred dollars at these games, I move down to the $2/$4 limits, and continue to lose. By the day after Christmas, I have exactly $86.45 in my account. This represents a total loss of: -$813.55. Meanwhile, I loaned $40 to Mike G., and in the span of about 2 weeks, watched him make a profit of $700. Jesus hates me. Net total: -$813.55.

Fast forward, late-February: For some strange reason, I've refound my footing at this point, and am hovering around $600 in my account. By now, the original bonus of $600 is completely gone, meaning that had I been playing without it, I would be broke. From winter break, I've been playing almost exclusively $.15/$.30 NLHE 6-max deep tables (meaning you can buy in for 200 times the big blind, i.e. $60, instead of the usual 100 BB). Also, I've finally managed to get "good" at the $10+1 STT SNGs, and begin to actually show a net profit from those. Also, I was forced to deposit another $100 solely for identity/account verification purposes. I also withdrew $100 of winnings during this period. Net total: -$300.

Mid-March: I get a random email from FullTilt Poker, which says I've qualified for a new $300 bonus, but that I only have 14 days to earn it. I decide to play 4 tables of $0.25/$0.50 NLHE full ring, to try and earn the bonus as quickly as possible. After some experimentation, I realize I need to play about 16000-17000 hands at this level for me to earn the bonus. Given the time restraint of 2 weeks, this is deemed impossible unless I play about 4 hours every day... With no other choice, I decide to jump up to $0.50/$1.00 NLHE, and play 4 tables. This means putting most of my bankroll ($400 of my $600) into play. I've also moved up to playing the $20+2 STT SNGs, and they seem easier to beat than the $10+1 tourneys. And surprisingly, I don't lose.

2 weeks later: Because of the interruption of Spring Break, I am unable to earn all of my $300 bonus, and only manage to earn about $180. Still, at the end of the 14-day bonus period, I find myself with roughly $800 sitting in my account. Net total: +$0 (or, -$0, if your glass is feeling half-empty).

Present-day: Deciding that I've improved enough (based on the latest run during my bonus collection), I settle down to playing $0.50/$1.00 NLHE exclusively, with the occasional $20+2 SNG thrown in for variety. In fact, I earn about $300 from these SNGs. I also seem to have figured this cash game business out, and go on an incredible winning streak that is so far still holding up. Right now, I have $1,832 in my account. Net total: +$1,032.

That's right.

I have earned an overall profit of $1,032 for my last 5 months playing poker. And it was fucking painful. In fact, that $1,000 has come entirely within the last 2-3 weeks...

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Live update: Playing the $11K guarantee on FullTilt, I just busted out, holding QQ. Villain in MP min-raises to 240, I raise the size of the pot for a total of 900 back to him, and he calls. Flop J-7-6, all spades, and Villain open-pushes all-in. I call, holding the Q of spades, and wondering what the hell is going on. Villain flips up 2-3 of spades... I miss my redraw outs.

Here's to donks (myself included at times). Cheers.

Monday, April 02, 2007

I Would Write Some Commentary...

... but stuff like this is just too perfect on its own. I'm pretty sure that any extra social commentary on my part would only detract from the awesomeness.

What follows is excerpted from a NY Times article on an online sexual predator sting operation in Polk County, FL:

A videotape of the scene, posted on The Sentinel’s Web site, shows Jonathan K. Thompkins, a 19-year-old food preparation worker from nearby Melbourne, Fla., being arrested after he appeared at the house, apparently expecting to go skinny-dipping with a 13-year-old girl.

When he was met by investigators at the front door instead, Mr. Thompkins is heard on the tape saying, “I knew it.”

Mr. Thompkins told reporters that he went to the home with plans to meet with the girl and “just to go into the pool, and whatever happens, happens.”

“I don’t know what I was thinking,” he told them. “My mom raised me better.”


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Poor mom.